Tuesday, November 04, 2025

TERPGUY WEATHER AND STUFF


WELCOME TO TERPGUY WEATHER AND STUFF

4 NOVEMBER, 0800

1205:  SOME UPDATES

HURRICANE SEASON;
ENDS 30 NOVEMBER
 (see below)

OUR AUTUMN COLOR THIS YEAR? 
SEE ENTRY AFTER TROPICS:

A REALLY EARLY 2025-26 WINTER PREDICTION BELOW...

SOME CORRUPT CODE HAS BEEN OCCASIONALLY SNEAKING BACK IN...

CURRENT CONDITIONS AT TERPGUY WEATHER CENTER
@0800

TEMPERATURE = 42°F
HUMIDITY = 67%
CLEAR
AIR QUALITY = 46, GOOD

MONDAY'S PRECIPITATION @ 0700 TUESDAY =  0.00"

Number of Days with measurable precipitation since 
1 July 2024 = 170...

WEATHER DELAYS/CLOSINGS AND HERE, and HERE...

Wind Chill Chart:
COD MAP- 4 NOVEMBER, 0805 
(want one, for free??... see below)
 (no map?  hit update) UPDATE


















NORTH, 4 NOVEMBER, 0805 1205
(no map? hit update)















SOUTH, 4 NOVEMBER, 0805
(no map? hit update)








BEIGE-YELLOW =  
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT:
ELEVATED RISK OF TUESDAY PM WILDFIRES...NORTH OF M/D LINE...

PURPLE = SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY:
*OCEAN- UNTIL TUESDAY, AS LATE AS 1800;
WINDS NW, 15 TO 25 kts, GUSTS TO 30, SEAS TO 6 FEET...

*DELBAY-  UNTIL TUESDAY, 1600;
WINDS NW, 15 TO 25 kts, GUSTS TO 25, CHOPPY WATERS...

*CHESBAY/POTRIV/PAXRIV/PATRIV-
UNTIL TUESDAY, 1500; AGAIN, WEDNESDAY, 0600, UNTIL 1800;
1st- WINDS NW, 10 TO 25 kts, GUSTS TO 20;
2nd- WINDS SW, 15 TO 25 kts, GUSTS TO 30...

PALE GOLDENROD = 

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOKS:

WESTERN SHORE- SMALL CRAFT STATEMENTS (FIRE STATEMENTS TO N)...

UPPER DELMARVA- SMALL CRAFTS STATEMENTS, CHESBAY/DELBAY...

LOWER DELMARVA- 
SMALL CRAFT STATEMENTS, CHESBAY...

END 1205:  SOME UPDATES

WESTERN SHORE- NORTH:
UPDATE   

NOVEMBER SUPERMOON:  HERE

Tuesday, 4 November:  Sun, ±59°.  Wind W, 12, gusts to 23.

Tuesday night:  Clear, ±40°.  Wind to calm.

Wednesday, 5 November:  Sun, ±65°.  Wind to SW, 9, gusts to 21.

These forecasts are subject to change:

Wednesday night:  clear, ±43°.  Wind SW, 12, to AM NW, gusts to 25.

Thursday, 6 November:  sun, ±56°.  Wind NW, 11, gusts to 22.

Thursday night:  some clouds, ±37°.

Friday, 7 November:  some sun, ±60°.

Friday night:  rain/clouds, ±52°.

Saturday, 8 November:  sun, ±63°.

Saturday night:  some clouds, ±44°.

Sunday, 9 November:  rain?/some sun, ±61°. 

Sunday night:  rain?/some clouds, ±37°.

Monday, 10 November:  sun, ±47°.


WESTERN SHORE- INLAND:  

NOVEMBER SUPERMOON:  HERE

Tuesday, 4 November:  Sun, ±62°.  Wind W, 9, gusts to 20.

Tuesday night:  Clear, ±38°.  Wind calm.

Wednesday, 5 November:  Sun, ±70°.  Wind to SW, 9, gusts to 20.

These forecasts are subject to change:

Wednesday night:  clear, ±44°.  Wind NW, 9, gusts to 21.

Thursday, 6 November:  sun, ±58°.  Wind NW, 8, gusts to 18.

Thursday night:  some clouds, ±37°.

Friday, 7 November:  some sun, ±63°.

Friday night:  rain/clouds, ±53°.

Saturday, 8 November:  sun, ±65°.

Saturday night:  some clouds, ±44°.

Sunday, 9 November:  rain?/some sun, ±63°. 

Sunday night:  some clouds, ±38°.

Monday, 10 November:  sun, ±48°.


WESTERN SHORE- SOUTH:

NOVEMBER SUPERMOON:  HERE

Tuesday, 4 November:  Sun, ±62°.  Wind W, 9, gusts to 20.

Tuesday night:  Clear, ±42°.  Wind to calm.

Wednesday, 5 November:  Sun, ±69°.  Wind SW, 11, gusts to 23.

These forecasts are subject to change:

Wednesday night:  clear, ±46°.  Wind SW, 10, to AM NW, gusts to 22.

Thursday, 6 November:  sun, ±60°.  Wind NW, 9.

Thursday night:  clear, ±40°.

Friday, 7 November:  sun, ±64°.

Friday night:  AM rain/clouds, ±54°.

Saturday, 8 November:  sun, ±68°.

Saturday night:  clear, ±47°.

Sunday, 9 November:  rain?/some sun, ±66°. 

Sunday night:  rain?/some clouds, ±39°.

Monday, 10 November:  sun, ±52°.


DELMARVA NORTH:

NOVEMBER SUPERMOON:  HERE

Tuesday, 4 November:  Sun, ±60°.  Wind W, 11, gusts to 22.

Tuesday night:  Clear, ±39°.  Wind W, light.

Wednesday, 5 November:  Sun, ±66°.  Wind SW, 8, gusts to 21.

These forecasts are subject to change:

Wednesday night:  clear, ±44°.  Wind SW, 9, to AM NW, gusts to 21.

Thursday, 6 November:  sun, ±57°.  Wind NW, 8, gusts to 20.

Thursday night:  clear, ±36°.

Friday, 7 November:  some sun, ±61°.

Friday night:  rain/clouds, ±52°.

Saturday, 8 November:  sun, ±65°.

Saturday night:  some clouds, ±44°.

Sunday, 9 November:  rain?/some sun, ±62°. 

Sunday night:  rain?/some clouds, ±37°.

Monday, 10 November:  sun, ±48°.


DELMARVA- CENTRAL
NOVEMBER SUPERMOON:  HERE

Tuesday, 4 November:  Sun, ±61°.  Wind W, 13.

Tuesday night:  Some post-1-ish frost.  Clear, ±39°.  Wind W, 5.

Wednesday, 5 November:  Sun, ±68°.  Wind S, 8, gusts to 25.

These forecasts are subject to change:

Wednesday night:  clear, ±46°.  Wind SW, 13, to AM NW, gusts to 30.

Thursday, 6 November:  sun, ±59°.  Wind NW, 8, gusts to 20.

Thursday night:  some post-1-ish frost, clear, ±36°.

Friday, 7 November:  sun, ±63°.

Friday night:  AM rain/clouds, ±53°.

Saturday, 8 November:  sun, ±68°.

Saturday night:  clear, ±45°.

Sunday, 9 November:  rain?/sun, ±66°. 

Sunday night:  rain?/some clouds, ±39°.

Monday, 10 November:  sun, ±51°.


DELMARVA- SOUTH:  

NOVEMBER SUPERMOON:  HERE

Tuesday, 4 November:  Sun, ±61°.  Wind NW, 12, gusts to 21.

Tuesday night:  Clear, ±39°.  Wind to calm.

Wednesday, 5 November:  Sun, ±68°.  Wind SW, 9, to PM 18, gusts to 33.

These forecasts are subject to change:

Wednesday night:  clear, ±48°.  Wind SW, 15, to AM NW, gusts to 26.

Thursday, 6 November:  sun, ±59°.  Wind NW, 10.

Thursday night:  clear, ±37°.

Friday, 7 November:  sun, ±63°.

Friday night:  rain?/clouds, ±56°.

Saturday, 8 November:  sun, ±68°.

Saturday night:  clear, ±47°.

Sunday, 9 November:  rain?/sun, ±66°. 

Sunday night:  rain?/some clouds, ±40°.

Monday, 10 November:  sun, ±52°.


OCEAN SHORE:
REMEMBER:  WESTERLY WINDS WILL BLOW BITING MARSH BUGS TO THE BEACH UNTIL THE FIRST FREEZE...

NOVEMBER SUPERMOON:  HERE

Tuesday, 4 November:  Sun, ±60°.  Wind NW, 16.

Tuesday night:  Clear, ±48°.  Wind W, 9.

Wednesday, 5 November:  Sun, ±65°.  Wind SW, 13, to PM 19, gusts to 31.

These forecasts are subject to change:

Wednesday night:  clear, ±51°.  Wind SW, 23, to AM NW, gusts to 32.

Thursday, 6 November:  sun, ±57°.  Wind NW, 16.

Thursday night:  clear, ±48°.

Friday, 7 November:  sun, ±62°.

Friday night:  AM rain?/clouds, ±58°.  Breezy.

Saturday, 8 November:  sun, ±65°.

Saturday night:  clear, ±53°.

Sunday, 9 November:  rain?/sun, ±62°. 

Sunday night:  rain?/some clouds, ±44°.

Monday, 10 November:  sun, ±51°.  Breezy.

AN EARLY 2025-26 WINTER PREDICTION HERE
(UPDATED:  1 NOVEMBER)

HURRICANE WIND SPEEDS:
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE-
Category One = 74mph
Cat Two = 96 mph
MAJOR-
Cat Three = 111 mph
Cat Four = 130 mph
Cat Five = 157 mph

2025 HURRICANE PREDICTIONS
23 APRIL, 2025
HURRICANE SEASON BEGAN SUNDAY, 1 JUNE

NHC-

NAMED STORMS- 19
HURRICANES- 9
MAJOR (CAT 3 UP)- 4

COLORADO STATE-

NAMED STORMS- 17
HURRICANES- 9
MAJOR (CAT 3 UP)- 4

ANDREA       KAREN
BARRY          LORENZO       
CHANTAL      MELISSA       
DEXTER         NESTOR     
ERIN               OLGA    
FERNAND       PABLO 
GABRIELLE    REBEKAH
HUMBERTO    SEBASTIAN
IMELDA          TANYA
JERRY             VAN
                       WENDY
  
TUESDAY, 0920...MAP STILL VALID...


GOES MAP:  HERE  

SPACE WEATHER- 
NOVEMBER, 2025...HERE

They will ask you to join, but it is FREE  (but has ads)...

2025 METEOR SHOWERS:  HERE

2025 FULL MOONS AND NAMES:  HERE

COLORFUL AUTUMN THIS YEAR?
FIRST:
JACK FROST HAS ABSOLUTELY NOTHING WHATSOEVER TO DO WITH AUTUMN COLORS...IT DOESN'T MATTER WHAT THE IGNORANT TV WEATHER PEOPLE SAY...

THEY ARE WRONG...

THIS IS FROM A 40+ YEAR-OLD ARTICLE IN THE AMERICAN CHEMICAL SOCIETY'S CHEMMATERS, A PUBLICATION FOR HIGH SCHOOL SCIENCE...

I KNOW, BECAUSE I WROTE IT...

SO...WILL OUR AREA HAVE A BEAUTIFUL AUTUMN?

RIGHT NOW: JURY IS STILL OUT...(I shall update this as needed in the coming weeks)

SOME SCIENCE:
WHY DO TREES HAVE LEAVES?

**LEAVES MAKE SUGAR FOR THE TREES...

**THE MORE SUGAR IN THE LEAF WHEN IT DIES, THE BRIGHTER THE COLORS...

SUGAR COMES FROM PHOTOSYNTHESIS, A PROCESS WHERE LEAVE TURN AIR AND WATER INTO USABLE CHEMICALS FOR GROWTH.

A VERY SIMPLE FORMULA FOR THIS IS:
AIR + WATER + SUNSHINE = SUGAR

or

CO2 + H2O + sunshine with chlorophyll = C6H1206

THREE conditions must be met to have a colorful Autumn in our area:

1) ADEQUATE LATE SUMMER RAINFALL (for photosynthesis, to make sugar)

2) BRIGHT AUTUMN DAYS (sunshine, to make sugar)

3) CHILLY AUTUMN NIGHTS (to slow down the sugar from going to the roots, in case the leaf dies at night)

OUR RAINFALL THIS SEASON AT TERPGUY WEATHER CENTER?
MAY- 30 DAYS, 10 W/O RAIN
JUNE- 30 DAYS, 15 W/O RAIN
JULY- 31 DAYS, 14 W/O RAIN
AUGUST- 31 DAYS, 18 W/O RAIN
SEPTEMBER- 24 DAYS (so far), 16 W/O RAIN

SO, WILL WE HAVE A COLORFUL AUTUMN?

AGAIN, MAYBE...

REMEMBER:
NO RAIN = NO PHOTOSYNTHESIS
NO PHOTOSYNTHESIS = NO SUGAR
NO SUGAR = LOW COLORS

LEAVES ARE GREEN, BECAUSE OF CHLOROPHYLL;
THE YELLOW IS ALWAYS THERE, AND SHOW UP WHEN THE CHLOROPHYLL DISAPPEARS (see below)
THE REDS AND ORANGES ARE WHAT THE DETERIORATING LEFTOVER SUGAR IN THE LEAF BECOMES...

WHY DO TREES LOSE THEIR LEAVES??
Great-Grandma hung out the laundry in sub-freezing weather, yet it dried.  This is due to a process know as sublimation...a process where something goes directly from solid to gas..like mothballs, or that extra tray of ice cubes in your frost-free freezer that is empty when you need it.

Cold air is DRY air (we see more stars in the Winter, right?)

If the thin leaves stayed on the tree in the drying Winter air:
-they would dry out and die;

-then the twig would dry out and die;

-then the branch;

-then the trunk;

-and finally, the roots;

-and the tree dies.

Oh, yeah...what about Hollys and Southern Magnolias?  Look at those thick, waxy leaves.


ONE LAST ITEM:

99.9% OF ALL LIVING THINGS ARE MADE UP OF FOUR ELEMENTS- C, O, H, N (carbon, oxygen, hydrogen, nitrogen)

A tree can obtain three (C, O, H) from photosynthesis...but nitrogen is a rare commodity.

A protein holds the chlorophyll (green) molecule together.  

Proteins are made of amino acids, which loaded with nitrogen.

So, as the leaf dies, the tree "recycles" the nitrogen by breaking up the protein holding the chlorophyll together, and sending the amino acids to the roots,  the chlorophyll disappears, allowing the other colors to show through.

The nitrogen comes back to the newly-forming Spring in the as rising sap.

QUESTIONS?

eMail me:
terpguyweather@gmail.com


KEYS TO WEATHER CODES:

ZR = FREEZING RAIN


ZF = FREEZING FOG


ZD = FREEZING DRIZZ


IP = SLEET


LONA = Little Or No Accumulation

WIND: 

XX = NEAR GALE:  32-38

XX = GALE FORCE:  39 and up

KNOT = 1.15MPH

RAIN VS. SHOWERS:

rain is steady...showers are off and on.


For TGWS: 


PALE GOLDENROD = 

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOKS:

BEIGE-YELLOW =  SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT:


LIGHT YELLOW-BEIGE = MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT:


MOCCASIN = STORM WATCH:


PURPLE = STORM WARNING: 

PLUM = GALE WARNING:  X

PINK = GALE WATCHXXX

LIGHT CORAL = TROPICAL STORM WATCH 

FIREBRICK = TROPICAL STORM WARNING

AIR QUALITY HERE

VIOLET-PURPLE = STORM WARNING:

HOT PINK = WINTER STORM WARNING:

PALE VIOLET RED =SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH

MEDIUM VIOLET-RED = SNOW SQUALL WARNING:

ORANGE

VIOLET-PURPLE = WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY:

X

DARK MAGENTA = ICE STORM WARNING 

BLUE-PURPLE = WINTER STORM WATCH:  #0059C4; XXXX

CORNFLOWER BLUE = FROST ADVISORY 

LIGHT BLUE-GRAY = COLD WEATHER ADVISORY:

CYAN = FREEZE WATCH

DARK SLATE BLUE = FREEZE WARNING: (COLOR CORRECTED)

DARK RED = FLASH FLOOD WARNING 

LIME = FLOOD WARNING
SPRING GREEN = FLOOD ADVISORY
LAWN GREEN = COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY

SEA GREEN = FLOOD WATCH

 

 

OLIVE DRAB = COASTAL FLOOD STATEMENTS; 

MEDIUM AQUAMARINE = COASTAL FLOOD WATCH 

FOREST GREEN = COASTAL FLOOD WARNINGS

TURQUOISE = BEACH/RIP STATEMENTS: 

MEDIUM ORCHID = HIGH SURF ADVISORY ZZ

DEEP PINK = RED FLAG WARNING: NMN 

CORAL = HEAT ADVISORY

MEDIUM VIOLET-RED = EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING

MAROON = EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCH:


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Their excellent maps reload every six minutes!


HOW TO ACCESS THE C.O.D. MAP:

IT'S FREE! 

1)  GO TO:

https://weather.cod.edu/


 

2)  CLICK ON "WEATHER ANALYSIS TOOLS":

 

3a)  CLICK ON "SATELLITES AND RADAR":
 


 
 
3b)  GO TO LOWER LEFT OF PAGE:
 

3c)  CLICK ON "Dual-Pol NEXRAD":


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5) CLICK ON THIS ICON:
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